Past Performance or Fees
Many investors agonize through the process of fund research. They seek out the “hot hands” — hoping to find a winning manager. Even though every fund prospectus states that, “...past performance does not guarantee future results,” investors still believe that a track record means something.
Only One Chart Needed
Drops in the stock markets are scary for most investors. Stock market declines are so scary that investors typically sell after their stocks have gone DOWN, and wait to buy stocks back when the stocks have gone UP. In other words investors sell low and buy high.
Avoid Financial Alchemy
Maybe you know of an extraordinary stock broker or fund manager or TV personality who strikes you as being among the elite few who can make the leap. Maybe they have a stellar track record, impeccable credentials, a secret sauce or brand-name recognition. Should you turn to them for the latest market tips, instead of settling for “average” returns?
Alternative Absurdity
Our desire for high returns and no risk are mutually exclusive. Making money requires risk and the level of perceived risk taken is directly tied to expected return. In other words, making more money means taking more risk. It’s a very simple reality that most investors wish they could overcome. However, Wall Street is happy to make it appear that you that you can "have your cake and eat it, too."
Alternative Arguments
Trend following is common human frailty. Could that be why so many investment advisors are pushing alternative investments to their clients when it’s difficult to justify either their investing rationale or high fees?
Your Money: Location, Location, Location
When it comes to buying or selling a home, most of us already know that the price depends on three things: location, location, location. Asset location is a similar, if less familiar rule that applies to your investments. Managing asset location within your portfolio can help you keep as much of your wealth as possible – even after the tax man takes his cut.
Myth of Magellan
Peter Lynch's best selling book, “One Up on Wall Street.” perpetuated the myth that mutual fund managers were capable of “Beating the Street” (the title of his second book). It was because of the success of Lynch’s Fidelity Magellan fund that I accepted the conventional wisdom of the day; a smart manager can beat the market.
Your Secret Weapon
DIY or do-it-yourself is common for home improvement, (some) car maintenance, and lawn care. It is not so common for surgery, legal matters, or dentistry. Why? The skills needed for the former are far easier to develop than the skills for the latter activities.
Millennials: How to Get Rich
Last week we looked at research from Boston College that showed 50% of near retirees (baby boomers) are projected to have a lower standard of living in retirement due to inadequate income from social security, pensions, and savings. This week we look at a new book by William Bernstein titled “If You Can: How Millennials Can Get Rich Slowly”.
High? Low? Who Knows?
Is the stock market too high? It’s impossible to know. We know it was too high in early 2008, just as we know it was too low in early 2009.
Unprepared for Retirement
The National Retirement Risk Index (NRRI) shows that in 2013 shows that only 50% of people will be able to replace at least 90% their income at age 65. Those that cannot are considered at risk.
Advisor Rewards
You’ve probably heard us whistle this tune so often that you can sing along yourself: Among the best ways to maximize expected returns is to minimize the costs involved in achieving them. This begs the question: What about those fees you pay your advisor? Are they earning their keep?
The Downsizing Myth
When discussing their retirement plans, people often tell me that they will downsize their current house, move into a cheaper house, and invest the difference for retirement income. As I tell them, "the next time I see someone downsize into a cheaper house will be the first time that I see them do it". People often downsize square footage but they move into a more expensive home.
The Most Dangerous Game
I used to think that professional football – the American version -- was the most dangerous game in the country. That is, until I noticed a resurgence of a game that causes more lifelong damage.
Bad Market Stories
Human beings love stories. But this innate tendency can lead us to imagine connections between events where none really exist.
The Magic Six Percent
Funny how we believe that there's the "magic" fund that will beat the market, despite endless academic research tells us otherwise.
Future Past?
We talk about the market is present tense even though it is always past. What has just happened directs our perceptiuon of what's to come. Some of biggest investing mistakes occur from expecting what has just transpired will continue. It's all part of human cogition defect know as the "recency effect."
Even Barron's Loves DFA
In January, Barron's wrote a cover peice about our favorite mutual fund family, Dimensional Fund Advisors (DFA). Since Barron's requires a subscription, many of you were unable to read this excellent piece. Well, here it is.
Golden Ticket Trap
In a popular children’s story, the young hero pins all his hopes on finding one of a handful of “golden tickets” hidden among millions of candy bars. It seems many people approach investing the same way.